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In family-based cohorts such as GS, where related participants may live in the same household, passive smoking is an important factor that could confound the associations between direct smoking and health outcomes

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Specifically, the BAPC model assumes prior distribution of the age effect as follows: Considering that we are interested in the incident case counts for age group , with a period into the future, the following equation can be applied: In this study, we add an independent random effect to adjust for overdispersion