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Nor can it be proven that the applicant's illness was caused by smoking." the court said

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Next steps Apply the SCM to other states that implemented tobacco control programs after California (e.g., Massachusetts, Oregon) Explore heterogeneous effects by analyzing how the treatment effect varies across post-treatment years using rolling-window or recursive estimations Compare SCM estimates with difference-in-differences approaches applied to the same data Investigate conformal inference methods (Chernozhukov et al., 2021) for formal confidence intervals in the SCM framework 12

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